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Jeff Siegel

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Handicapping with Jeff Siegel
Horse owner, breeder and HRTV analyst Jeff Siegel also happens to be Southern California's premier handicapper. Check his blog each day before you play!
May 3, 2015

The Sunday program offers just eighth races, with the featured Honeymoon Stakes carded as the finale.

Race 1:

The opener will have a very short priced favorite in #4 J and S Express, listed at 6/5 on the morning line.  A winner for $12,500 two runs back and sixth when beaten less than four lengths against a $16,000  group last time out, she drops for the money run and wins with anything close her best effort.  You can use her as a rolling exotic single or simply pass the race.

Race 2:

The second race is a six runner affair for $25,000 claiming fillies and mares at six furlongs.  We’ll pass the race other than to use two in our rolling exotics.  #1 Belle of the Fleet was a convincing winner at this level two runs back and must be given a strong look after a disappointing run vs. tougher up north last month.  However, top billing must go to #5 Sea John’s Spirit.  Second off a layoff for Ellis, she disappointed in her comeback but drops a notch and should be fitter and tougher today.  She’s also being re-equipped with blinkers and is comfortably placed outside where she can stalk and pounce.

Race 3:

The Pick-6 begins with the third race, a maiden special weight extended sprint for fillies and mares.  #7 Two Taps closed a gap in her debut when fourth vs. similar on turf and today tries the main track for a barn that has excellent stats with second-timers.  We’re expecting Espinoza to have her along in time.  #2 Never Ends, second in all four starts, probably can’t beat a real good maiden but it takes a decent one to beat her.  We’ll toss her in.  #5 Gentle Humor has trained well enough to warrant a look for the red-hot Mandella-Prat team.  We’ll prefer Two Taps on top but use all three in our rolling exotics.

Race 4:

We’ll also triple the fourth race, a nine-furlong entry-level allowance event on turf.  #6 Lucky Views is razor sharp and improving for Machowsky; he just won over this course and distance against a softer group last month and with another forward move may be able to win right back.  #2 Gab Power had a prep down the hill recently and should go better with the class drop and the added distance.  #3 Turn On the Pumps just can’t seem to win but he’s likely to at least get a piece of it and may be worth using on a ticket or two as a saver.

Race 5:

Maiden claiming fillies and mares sprint six furlongs in the fifth race with two major players.  #4 Jazzed, a decent runner-up in her debut, has a right to improve for Hendricks and will be especially tough if she breaks with her field today.  #8 Pocketfullofgreen has burned money in her last pair but she’s a fit on figures, switches to Baze, and may be the quickest in the field.

Race 6:

The sixth race is another nine furlong turf affair, this one for $32,000 claimers.  #9 Enzio, a $25,000 Moger claim, seeks his third straight on the one-level jump and always lays his body down.  He likes to lag and produce one run and Van Dyke knows exactly when to push the button.  #5 Persuasive Paul returns to his favorite surface and drops to his proper level; the Knapp-trained gelding runs best for this rider and continues to look good in the morning.  #2 Fast Track takes a one-level class drop and should fit better in this league; the main negative is that he’s winless in seven starts over this course but against this group he has to be respected.

Race 7:

The seventh race is a main track middle distance allowance event for fillies and mares.  #2 Grandiose Tactics, a high-priced claim by Sadler last out, is genuine and consistent with rising speed figures.  She has excellent tactical speed and is a logical morning line choice at 8/5.  Let’s use her as a straight play and rolling exotic single.

Race 8:

The Honeymoon Stakes looks similar to the Providencia that was run last month; we liked #8 Entrechat that day (she finished a close third) and we like her once again.  The Drysdale-trained daughter of Giant’s Causeway may be better equipped to handle this nine furlong trip today and Prat should have her within striking range throughout.  #9 Spirit of Xian, winner of the Providencia, has to be used once again as does #2 Spanish Queen, beaten a neck in that same race while making only her second career start.

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