Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., June 13, 2014)

There’s a $61,937 Pick-6 carryover for the Friday the 13th program at Santa Anita that has a late first post time of 3 p.m. It could be your lucky day! Or not.

In the opener, the improving #5 Street Maven seeks his third straight score while stretching out to 10 furlongs and this distance should be right up his alley. The son of Street Sense has found a home on this turf course and with continued improving looks capable of extending his streak. #2 Big Kick has run well on grass in the past and has back numbers that make him a contender. The Machowsky-trained gelding should be prominent throughout.

The second race is a $16,000 middle distance claimer restricted to 3-year-olds. #1 Runaway Que comes off a clever win sprinting for $12,500 and moves up a notch while stretching out to a trip he can handle. The Hess-trained sophomore loves this track, retains Talamo, and should enjoy a ground-saving, pace stalking journey. #5 Midnight Mayhem beat a soft maiden claiming field in decent fashion last month, though the number wasn’t particularly strong. The son of Matty G. only has had five starts so another forward move is likely. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics.

The Pick-6 begins with the third race a $12,500 starter’s handicap over a mile on turf for fillies and mares. #2 Loveintheshadows earned a strong number with a clever turf win at this distance on grass up north two runs back and a repeat of that effort today might be good enough to beat this field. She’s a veteran mare that can win as a stalker, though she probably prefers to be on the lead. Another Bay Area shipper, #7 Lindsz Winz, has been freshened since mid-April but is protected by Hollendorfer and lands Nakatani. She’s won on this course in the past though she’s made her living around one turn. With eight career wins in her resume, she’s worth tossing in.

Maiden two year olds sprint five furlongs in the fourth race, a modest Calbred affair, at least on paper. #6 Full Bird Colonel broke poorly in his debut and then finished steadily without being knocked about in a better-than-looked effort. If he can leave with his field today and make a fair amount of improvement, the Dominguez-trained colt could be quite dangerous. Among the newcomers, #1 Goyo has trained well enough to be included in rolling exotic play; the Solis-trained gelding seems plenty fit and seems like a live item in a race that doesn’t contain any world beaters.

Starter’s allowance fillies and mares occupy the fifth race, a mile turf affair that looks treacherous. Best advice is to include as many as you can afford to. Small ticket players should look at #3 Hanserella, just one-for-32 during her career but with back numbers that make her a major player in this league and with decent recent form, and #7 Backintheacademy, a contender despite low profile connections based on some of her earlier runs this season over this course.

We’ll double the sixth race, a #10,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares. #5 Chippette joins the Miller barn, so we’re expecting improvement from the daughter of Purge; she plummets in class and switches to Espinoza for her first start in six weeks. Her Eastern form was good and if repeated today will make her hard to beat. #1 Eltoninadress is a tough-as-nails mare and can be effective sprinting or routing; the rail post is no help but she is a first-off-the-claim for Diodoro (29% with this angle) and she’s particularly fond of the Santa Anita main track.

The featured seventh race is an entry-level nine furlong turf event restricted to 3-year-olds; #3 Quotient seems the likely short-priced favorite and is listed at 6/5 on the morning line. Nosed out in the Pasadena Stakes two runs back and then an excellent third in the Gr. 2 American Turf at Churchill Downs on Derby day, the son of Stormy Atlantic should out class this field as a rolling exotic single.

The nightcap, a maiden claiming extended sprint for fillies and mares, should be won by either #2 Coconut Cream Pie or #4 L X Sunrise and these are the two we’ll include in rolling exotic play. Coconut Cream Pie is a 10-race maiden but this will be her first start for a tag and she certainly will appreciate the softer company. Freshened since mid-February, the Mullins-trained filly has trained well of late and should be set for a winning effort. L X Sunrise has finished second in five of six career outings but just can’t seem to break through. She’s the best of the closing types and should at least hit the board once again.