Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., May 16, 2014)

Racing resumes on Friday with a twilight first post of 3:00 p.m. for the eight-race program.

Juveniles sprint four and one-half furlongs in the opener, and trainer Art Sherman, who already trains one pretty nice colt by Lucky Pulpit, may have another in #5 Kristi’s Copilot. With a series of impressive drills at Los Alamitos under his belt, he should be fit and ready to show his stuff first crack out of the box. He’s listed at 7/2 on the morning line but we’ll be surprised if doesn’t go lower.

The second race, an intense sprint for second level allowance runners, marks the return of #3 Declassify, away since October but training like his old self for Baffert. However at 6/5 on the morning line the son of Orientate doesn’t offer any value, and he has to deal with the rapidly improving #4 Seeking the Sherif, a winner of four of his last five with rising speed figures. We’ll concede that they’re too tough to separate and use both in rolling exotic play.

The Pick-6 begins with the third race, a middle distance $25,000 claimer that should showcase #1 Dress Code and #2Two Is to Many, both of whom are worth including in rolling exotic play. Dress Code, first off the claim for Puype, earned a giant figure in a sharp win two races back and a repeat pf that effort today most likely will be good enough. Two Is to Many is a dangerous New York invader with numbers that make him a strong threat in this league and a recent Los Alamitos bullet workout gives indication he’s right on edge.

We’ll double the fourth race, a turf miler for $40,000 claiming fillies and mares. #6 Redressthebalance tries a one-level class drop while trying to regain the form that saw her win the California Oaks as a 3-year-old. She switches to Baze and should settle into a nice second flight, stalking position. #5 Plaza de Indias, away since October but with a healthy work tab at San Luis Rey Downs for Miller (excellent stats with layoff runners), has never been all that keen on winning but could be a bit better type this time around.

Maiden claiming fillies and mares sprint six and one-half furlongs in the fifth race; we’ll go two-deep but feel free to use a few more if you can afford to. #6 Not a Love Song drops a level for Bonde and has numbers that make her dangerous in a soft field; she’s 9/5 on the morning line and that’s a commentary on the lack of contention. #7 Gracie Ragazza showed a bit of ability last summer at Del Mar and has worked nicely for her first start since; she could easily be a much improved sort and the Glatt barn is dangerous with comebackers of this type.

#2 Muchos Besos and #4 Carbonite appear to be the main players in the sixth race, a $10,000 extended sprint. Muchos Besos is a route-to-sprint class dropper getting a break in the weights with the switch to bug boy Van Dyke, and the Sherman-trained gelding should be running on strongly late. Carbonite returns to his claim level for Diodoro and will be tough with a repeat of his race before last.

The featured seventh race is a downhill turf sprint; the comebacking #8 My Slew shows up for $20,000 but that’s a realistic spot for his first start since November and the Miller-trained gelding has looked good enough in the morning to expect a huge run. He can be tough on the lead or from mid pack, so Garcia has a few options. #5 Star Rocker has won three in a row but continues to drop in class; if he has one good one left the O’Neill-trained colt certainly will make his presence felt.

The nightcap is a weak maiden claimer begging to be won by a fresh face. #1 Hollywood Producer has worked like she has some talent and a little will go a long way with this group. If she breaks running from the rail, the Solis-trained filly will be a strong threat at this abbreviated sprint trip. #4 Getaway Keys, has a series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs that appear fairly solid and this stable has a very good record with first-time starters. We’ll try to survive using these two.