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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Thu., March 27, 2014)
A whopping $115,862 adds spice to a Thursday program that looks reasonably playable.
The opener should be won by either #4 Ya Wanna Hug or #2 Farmers Wife and both are worth including in rolling exotic play. Ya Wanna Hug tries two turns for the first time and looks easily like the controlling speed; she may not want to run this far but if she’s ever going to stay a middle distance it will be today. Farmers Wife is the most dangerous of the closers; she’s a first-off-the-claim for Carava and if there is a pace meltdown she’ll benefit greatly.
The second race is a weak maiden claimer for $75,000 sophomore fillies and #5 Consecrate gets her best chance to date after chasing straight maidens in her first five starts. She has no early speed and isn’t really much of a closer, either, but somebody has to win and her numbers say she seems like the most logical of the lot. #6 Comealongwithme, with two turf sprints under her belt and numbers that make her a fit, tries sellers today, stretches out, and switches to the main track. She could be the controlling speed and might get brave, though there’s little in her form to believe that she really wants to route. Tread lightly here or better yet just pass the race.
The pick-6 begins with the third race and we’ll try to survive using just two. #1 Do Some Magic missed in a photo in a similar straight maiden mile turf event for Calbreds last month and really won’t have to improve much to graduate. He lands the favorable rail and should enjoy a perfect, ground-saving, second-flight trip. #3 Unusually Green, beaten as the favorite when second in his most recent start in early February, earned a nice figure in that affair and retains Talamo; he’ll be running on strongly late. Preference goes to Do Some Magic, but both should be used equally in rolling exotic play.
Bottom rung older maiden claimers sprint five and one-half furlongs in the fourth race; once again we’ll go two deep and that’s all. #4 Tasha’s Courage gets off the rail today and a repeat of his race before last should be good enough to handle this task. He has a strong, healthy recent work tab and improvement is likely. #6 Mahogany Run was originally claimed for $50,000 out of his debut by Sadler and today shows up for $20,000 so clearly he’s not what they hoped he would be; still, the four-year-old gelding continues to train nicely and will get blinkers, so perhaps he deserves one more chance.
The fifth race may require a spread; it’s a mile turf event for restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming fillies and mares. #6 Putahexonher is lightly-raced and probably better than shown; she exits a tougher starter’s allowance turf sprint in which she split the field after breaking slowly and today stretches out to a more suitable trip while getting a nice break in the weights. Bug boy Van Dyke should have her in a good stalking position throughout. #7 Lord Kitra seems likely to cut out the fractions; she pressed the pace and then weakened in a tougher Hillside sprint last month and won over this course and distance when graduating two races back. She’s reunited with Talamo, who was aboard for that winning effort. #4 Luckyvic hails from a low percentage barn but she makes a positive switch to Nakatani and returns to the claiming ranks for the first time in a long while; she’s 1-for-29 lifetime but could clunk up and get at least a piece of it.
We’ve got the sixth race down to a pair of major contenders. #6 Master Chef is strong in the speed figure department and loves this main track; he was a solid second in a tough starter’s allowance dash here last month and has trained nicely since for Hollendorfer. Nakatani will have him doing his best work from a good stalking position. The comebacking #1 Valdirone, away for more than a year, has trained like he’s fit and ready for Koriner and has back numbers that make him dangerous if he returns as well as he left. Assuming the Bertrando gelding breaks running from the rail, he’ll be the controlling speed.
The featured seventh race is a solid optional claimer that has several possibilities; we’ll go three deep but you may feel the need to spread even more. #1 Christopher Street missed by a half-length when closing strongly but too late in a similar affair in late January; he’s trained well since for Sadler, retains Smith, and should have every chance from his favorable rail post. #2 Awesome Prospect looked very good beating starter allowance foes recently on the main track and won on turf in his previous outing, so he’s versatile, genuine and improving for Powell. #7 Awesome Return is another lightly-raced 3-year-old with a progressive pattern; both of his turf outings were excellent and the son of Decarchy continues to impress in the morning for Mitchell.
The finale is a maiden claiming $30,000 sprint for 3-year-old fillies and small ticket players very likely will strongly consider singling #3 Moscato Girl. Second when beaten a nose while more than six clear of the rest in a fast race for the level two weeks ago, she returns on relatively short rest in a weak affair and if she doesn’t go backwards she’ll be very hard to deny. A nice, easy half mile breeze four days ago for Sadler is a good indication that she’s doing well.