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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sun., March 2, 2014)
The main track very likely will be something less than fast for the Sunday program and there will be no turf racing.
The second race was originally scheduled for turf but has been transferred to the main track. #3 Yankee Rebel will be making his first start on conventional dirt and if he can reproduce his turf form he should be in pretty good shape. A versatile type that can sprint or route, the Hollendorfer-trained gelding returns to the claiming ranks, retains Bejarano, and should draft into an ideal second flight position. #2 Square Dancer ran well in an off-the-turfer here last year and his recent turf form is solid. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.
Sophomore fillies sprint six and one-half furlongs in the third race, a $16,000 claimer that really doesn’t offer all that much value. We can see half of the six runner field winning, including the logical top pick, #6 Time for Angie, a successful in three straight with a career top figure in her most recent score. However, #2 South Sound just finished second to ‘Angie, beaten less than a length, and won’t have to improve much to turn the tables, while #3 Senza Fina returns to the claiming ranks for the first time since breaking her maiden for $40,000 in December. She’s a route-to-sprint play and won at this extended sprint distance two races back.
The fourth race is a non-winners of three $16,000 claimer at seven furlongs and kicks off the Pick-6. We’re intrigued by #5 D’ Obsession, a Phoenix shipper adding blinkers, shortening up in trip, and landing Bejarano. The Decarchy gelding has numbers that fit should be on or near the lead throughout in a race without a whole lot of speed. #1 Judge Carr continues to be popular at the claim box – he’s now in the Hess stable – and has a few back races that would make him dangerous. He should be running on late.
#2 Honey Ride is our strong rolling exotic single and straight play in the fifth race, a maiden two-turner for 3-year-olds fillies. The daughter of Candy Ride returned off a layoff to split the field sprinting in an obvious prep in January and since that race has trained exceedingly well. Stretching out to a distance she should love, the Sadler-trained filly looks primed for a breakthrough effort, and anything close to her morning line of 5/2 can be considered excellent value.
We’ll try to get past the sixth race using just two, #2 Raven Wild and #6 Joint Attempt, both trained by Sadler. The former drops again in class while stretching out and switching to Talamo so we’re expecting a major forward move. The latter, second over this course and distance about a month ago, should be doing her best work late and at 8/5 on the morning line is the shorter price of these, though we actually slightly prefer Raven Wild on top.
The seventh race is a $25,000 claiming miler; we’ve got it down to two major contenders. #3 Cook Inlet, claimed in his last pair and now in the Hollendorfer barn, is back with Bejarano, who has won on him in the past, and this barn excels with first-off-the-claims, hitting at 38% with a flat-bet profit. #6 Harlington Night, second off the layoff for Cerin, drops to a realistic spot and should be tighter and tougher today, especially with the class drop. He’ll be doing his best work from off the pace.
The featured eighth race is an entry-level allowance affair at nine furlongs. #1 Tiz Dynamic ran huge when nosed out in a turf stakes last month but is just as effective if not more so on the main track and rates top billing in a fairly contentious race. He makes a positive switch to Bejarano and from his inside post should fall into a soft pace forcing or prompting position. On pure numbers he’s an ideal fit and we’ll put him on top while also including in our rolling exotics #8 Planet Sunshine, a big figure winner for $50,000 in mid-January and making his first start since for new trainer Sherman. The Benchmark gelding likes this track and knows how to win.
The nightcap is a maiden claimer for bottom rung sprinting older horses. #9 Dehere Is Gone made progress in his second start when finishing a fairly close fourth in a similar affair and with only mild improvement today the Spawr-trained horse can earn his diploma. #3 Remind Mee, away for a year but with dangerous early speed, has trained well enough to be fit for Diodoro and should be factor at this abbreviated sprint distance.