Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., April 5, 2013)

The Friday program begins with a stickout; Thisonesforricky has rapidly improving numbers, a good inside post, and is switching to Bejarano. She continues to look good in the morning for Jones and seems ready to win as a strong straight play and rolling exotic single.

In a field full of question marks, we’ll spread the second race and hope to get by. None of these are trustworthy. Chinese Praise won a bottom rung affair last month and is wheeled back pretty quickly by new trainer Lewis. He’s had a series of hard, taxing races. Muchos Besos plummets in class after being pulled up last time out. He goes for new connections and is more than good enough to win on his best day, but his condition must be questioned. Macias goes from Asmussen to Glatt and drops two notches following a disappointing comeback effort. He’s another with strong back numbers but his current form is hard to gauge.

Toomanytomatoes returns to turf in the third race and drops to a proper spot. He doesn’t have the healthiest of patterns but should get brave in this league. Four Better is racing in good form and seems set for another honest effort. He’s a non-winner in the U.S. but should have every chance today. The edge goes to Toomanytomatoes but we’ll use both in our rolling exotics.

Sweet Nectar drops into a good spot in the fourth race and seems sure to improve. The Belvoir-trained filly is a solid fit on figures and should be within range throughout. Bikini Bottoms was all out to graduate at 5 ½ furlongs last time out and today tackles tougher while trying to cope with an extra half furlong. She’ll likely have to improve but lands the cozy outside post and should have every chance. We’ll double the race in our rolling exotics and then press with Sweet Nectar on top.

Nobilis has been working like she’s fit and ready for a big run in her U.S. debut for Callaghan and has her form in Europe clearly makes her the one to beat in the fifth race, an entry level allowance race. She’s strongly preferred on top but we’ll also include the hard-hitting Warren’s Got Game, improving for Spawr and retaining Bejarano following an excellent try vs. similar over this course last time out.

Fast Stop chased tougher in his debut but should benefit from the outside and really has little to beat in the sixth race. Talamo stays aboard for Mandella and should have this gelding on or near the lead throughout as a straight play and rolling exotic single.

In the seventh race, Sizzlin’ Joe stretches out after a nice sprint prep off a layoff and should move forward a ton for Jones. He lands the good rail, switches to Bejarano and should be along in plenty of time. He’s a strong straight play and rolling exotic single.

Ever Alert was pulled up and vanned off last summer at Del Mar but returns in a soft spot in the nightcap and is protected from being claimed. He’s worked well enough to be fit and ready for Kitchingman and has back numbers that would beat this field. He’s a strong straight play and rolling exotic single to close out the day.