Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., March 1, 2013)

A Pick-6 carryover of $44,521 awaits players on the first day of March.

Valentine Boy doesn’t appear to have much of a winning punch but he’s in with his friends in the opener, a nw-2 claimer, and rates a strong look. Pedroza stays aboard and should have this Harrington-trained gelding in a good pace prompting position along the rail. One World drops into a claimer for the first time and has speed figures that, if repeated, will beat this field. He’s back with Nakatani, who has won on him in the past, and the recent work tab looks pretty solid. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics and then press with One World on top.

Wild Media must leave from the rail in the second race but the Headley-trained gelding should have enough zip to gain favorable early position. He’s fast on numbers, retains Talamo, and likely has further upside. Candy’s Jewel is a seven race maiden and is exiting a claimer but the Hollendorfer-trained gelding is an interesting route-to-sprint play while retaining Bejarano. Caveman Keno is a first timer from the Baffert barn with good works and speed breeding. He looks cranked up and ready to go. We’ll use all three in our rolling exotics while preferring Wild Media on top.

In the third race, Grand Giant ran well at this level when second in late January and lands the favorable rail today while catching a somewhat lackluster group of high priced maiden claimers. Bejarano stays aboard and should have this Giant’s Causeway colt on or near the lead throughout as a straight play and rolling exotic single.

Latin Lashes continues to look sharp in the morning and drops for the money run in the fourth race. At this level she should be able to find her confidence. Roll Your Eyes has been highly popular at the claim box lately and is back in the Carava barn. She lands the cozy outside post while switching to Baze and has worked well since her last outing. We’ll use both in rolling exotic play while preferring Latin Lashes on top.

Sidepocket Run didn’t show her best in a troubled debut but figures to move forward considerably in the fifth race in her second outing for Warren. She retains Baze, has worked nicely since her race and figures to be a factor from off the pace. Patriot C H is a first timer from the Gaines barn and has shown enough in the morning to deserve strong consideration against this state bred older filly and mare field. Puff Pastry has had more than her fair of chances and may be a tad hard to trust, but she’s good form, she’s a solid fit on numbers and she’s gradually improving. All three should be used in rolling exotic play; let’s go with the newcomer Patriot C H on top.

Follini has done everything right in the morning for Glatt and Stevens has been out to work him. He’s bred for speed, looks the part, and should be very live first crack out of the box in the sixth race. Super Dice also has shown talent in the morning and this Mulhall-trained colt is worth using in the rolling exotics at or around his 6-1 morning line odds. Indian Classic perhaps is the best of the known element. A good second in his only outing last summer, he returns in a moderate spot with a series of drills that should have him fit to fire. Let’s prefer Follini on top while going three deep in rolling exotic play.

Surfcup has much in his favor in the featured seventh race and should be a short price to beat this entry-level state bred allowance field. The Baffert-trained colt was a reasonable third in the Cal Breeders earlier this meeting and has looked quite sharp in the morning since. He switches to Bejarano and should be able to control this race pretty much from gate to wire if he chooses. Let’s make him a straight play and rolling exotic single.

Tiz the Bliz is a first timer with a decent pedigree and a work tab that suggests she can run a little. In the finale, a maiden claimer, not much more will be needed and the barn is quite good with debut runners. A Drop Dead Diva is another new face with a promising series of drills and first timers from the Mullins barn always must be respected. She’s bred to win right now. Circular Logic has shown she can run a bit and looks best of those that have started. The Mitchell-trained filly drops to a proper level and should draft into a nice pace prompting position outside. Let’s go three deep rolling exotic play while preferring A Drop Dead Diva on top.