Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sun., Feb. 10, 2013)

A $97,259 Pick-6 carryover awaits Sunday players at Santa Anita in a challenging and competitive nine race program.

In the opener, Cabo Chico missed by a neck in a similar spot two races back and then was overmatched vs. allowance company earlier this month. He’s wheeled back quickly by Heap while switching to Talamo, and he has plenty of back numbers that would beat this group. However, there’s the question of the quick turnaround. We’ll make him a rolling exotic single for those who want the action but a better strategy might simply be to sit out the race.

The second race, a moderate maiden claiming sprint for sophomore fillies, has little depth to it; we’ll go two deep and hope that’s sufficient. Swiss Key, from the very clever Owens stable (excellent with debut runners) looks cranked up and ready and is by a win-early sire (Rocky Bar). Acute drops seeking her level for Mitchell and should go much better in this league. We’ll give a very slight edge to Swiss Key.

Genius Level moves up a notch in the third race following a decent turf win up north and should not be out of his element in this bottom-rung affair. He can handle any surface and Gryder should be able to place him anywhere he wants. Poker Dave, away since December and dropping two levels off a claim, doesn’t have a healthy pattern but certainly can win if he has one good one left. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets with Genius Level on top.

Parc Monceau is a first timer by Giant’s Causeway in the Drysdale barn and has shown dangerous speed in the morning leading up to her debut in the fourth race. She’s plenty fit and attracts Bejarano, so we’re expecting a huge run. Ocean’s of Money looks the best of the known element. The Sadler-trained filly missed by a neck over this course in her first try since arriving from Florida and she has every right to step forward with that effort behind her. We’ll double the race in our rolling exotics while slightly preferring Ocean’s of Money on top.

Max Cooper goes for new trainer Lopez off the claim in the fifth race and has a good chance to make amends for his disappointing run earlier this month. This is a restricted claimer (nw-3) and he exits an open affair, so he’s really not moving up in class all that much, if at all. From the rail at this one mile trip Delgadillo should have him in an ideal pace prompting position. At 2-for-20, though, he’s not what you’d call trustworthy, but there simply isn’t much in here, so we’ll get brave and try him as a rolling exotic single.

Guest Star cut out wicked fractions and just missed late in a huge run down the hill last month. If he can run back to that effort in today’s sixth race – rail and all – he’ll be hard to catch once again. Summer Hit, beaten a head in the same race ‘Start exits, looks tough again and the switch to Bejarano may prove to be the winning difference. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics while giving a very slight edge to Summer Hit.

In the seventh race, Max Cooper goes for new trainer Lopez off the claim and has a good chance to make amends for his disappointing run earlier this month. This is a restricted claimer (nw-3) and exits an open affair, to he’s really not moving up in class all that much, if at all. From the rail at this one mile trip Delgadillo should have him in an ideal pace prompting position. At 2-for-20, though, he’s not what you’d call trustworthy, but there simply isn’t much in her, so we’ll get brave and try him as a rolling exotic single.

Roar Baby Roar, first off the claim for Miller, moves up a notch and should fire another big shot in the eighth race with Bejarano staying aboard. She’s tough on the front end or from a stalking position, so no matter how the race shapes up she figures right there. Brown Is Beige returns for Taylor in the proper spot, though her recent works haven’t been all that impressive. She’s winless over this course but has run well down the hill in the past, and she’s been first or second in 12 of 16 career starts, so she’s hard to dismiss. We’ll double the race in our rolling exotics while slightly preferring Roar Baby Roar on top.

Today’s feature is a tough, contentions downhill turf sprint for fillies and mares and any one of a half dozen could win it. We’ll use three and hope to survive. Byrama always is dangerous as a late-running sprinter and exits the tougher Monrovia ‘Cap. These are within her range, so with clear sailing in the lane she could do some damage under Bejarano. Nechez Dawn returns to turf while exiting the Gr. 1 La Brea S. and is very likely to snap back to top form. She switches to Gomez and should draft into an ideal second flight position. Schiaparelli, out of the terrific downhill turf sprinting mare Cambiocorsa, is perfect under these conditions and retains Talamo. She’s unproven at this level but is drawn nicely outside and has speed figures that put her in the fray, so at 6-1 on the morning line she’s probably worth some consideration in the straight pool as well.

In the finale, Racy Rosa, in the money in her last two, really won’t have to improve much to earn her diploma, but at 8/5 on the morning line there’s not much to be gained. We’ll use her in the exotics along with Tiz Lovely, a 10-race maiden but beaten only a neck vs. similar here last month. She probably won’t have to improve much at all to win. If you’d like to toss in a few more, go right ahead, it’s that kind of race.