Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Thu., Jan. 31, 2013)

The Thursday program begins with an uninspiring early daily double, but picks up some steam later on.

In the opener, Bipartism clearly offers no value in the straight pool at even money on the morning line. However, the Hendricks-trained gelding drops to the bottom maiden claiming level while adding blinkers for the first time and has a few back numbers that would easily handle this field. He looks like the winner by default, but there are better opportunities later.

Roll Your Eyes drops a notch in his first start since being claimed by Julio (42% with a flat bet profit) in the second race and seems very likely to improve in his first start since November. He switches to Maldonado, has won over this track in the past, and has looked pretty good in the morning in recent weeks. He’s 8/5 on the morning line so similar to the first race there’s not really much to work with here.

The third race, a downhill turf sprint for older maiden fillies and mares, requires a spread. Unbridled Ambition, away since May but training like she’s fit and ready for Jones, might be a better type this time around and looks dangerous with Bejarano taking the mount. She’ll be doing her best work late. Marcyjane has decent turf figures and should snap back to life with the return to grass. She retains Gomez and is another that looks dangerous from off the pace. My Cinsation is bred to be quick and has shown enough in the morning to warrant a big look first crack out of the box for Bonde. All three should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll go with My Cinsation on top and have extra tickets in the win pool on the daughter of Cindago.

Samurai Jess is a first timer debuting at age four in the fourth race, a soft maiden claimer. The rail is no bargain but the O’Neill-trained filly has shown enough ability in the morning to deserve a big look. We’ll put her on top but also use Sister Esperanza, in the money in her last three and likely to improve today in her second off a layoff.

Hawfinch is a dangerous route-to-sprint play for Powell and seems sure to improve going short in today’s fifth race. She switches to Leparoux and should be rolling late. Horsesanddivorces missed by a photo in a similar affair at Hollywood Park in early December and has worked nicely in recent weeks to indicate fitness. Both of her turf races were excellent; the Mullhall-trained filly is strictly the one to beat.

The two Baffert entrants should dominate in today’s sixth race; either one can win. Super Ninety Nine continues to impress big time in the morning so we’ll give him one more chance to make amends for his two recent disappointing runs. He acts like he’ll enjoy two turns. Code West has plenty of improvement in him as well and he’s another looking quite good in the morning. Both should step forward today and both should be used in your rolling exotics.

Gab Power stretches out again in the seventh race and looks like the most dangerous of the closing types. He’s won on this course in the past and with a recent tightener down the hill the veteran gelding should be primed for his best. Causeithertz, freshened since mid Decmeber and looking sharp in the morning in the interim for Baffert, should fire another big shot today and is strictly the one to beat. We’ll double the race in our rolling exotics and then press a bit with Causeithertz on top.

The finale is a somewhat empty maiden claimer and a little will go a very long way. Half Moon Gambler may have been a bit short in her comeback but she shouldn’t be today. The O’Neill-trained filly flashed good zip in a similar spot earlier this month before weakening late; she could be tough to catch today with any kind of forward move. You can either spread pretty deep or find a single; we’ll go the latter route and hope to get close this filly’s morning line odds of 6-1.