Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., Feb. 1, 2013)

The Friday program is quite playable and offers a number of excellent rolling exotic possibilities.

Misceli seeks his third straight win in the opener but is tackling a considerably tougher gang today. The War Chant colt clearly is effective on turf and should be prominent throughout. One Firm Cat was out of his element in the off-the-turf Eddie Logan Stakes earlier this month but is more than capable of bouncing back today with the return to the sod. He’s a fit on numbers and has won over this course. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with One Firm Cast getting slight preference.

Twirlybird was scratched last week but returns quickly in the third race one above her conditions. She is good enough to beat this field with her best race and has a good stalking style that should play well from the rail. R Doubleday beat a softer field in a decent fashion over a wet fast track last month and must be given a good look on the one level raise. On figures she’s right there with these and Pedroza stays aboard. We’ll double the race in our rolling exotics while slightly preferring Twirlybird on top.

Nico Suave’ is a solid Bay Area invader with competitive numbers and looks very much like a strong fit in the third race despite being double jumped in class. Krigger should have him within striking range throughout. Three Vases lands the cozy outside post and should have every chance in his first start for a tag. A repeat of his race before last probably beats this field. The edge goes to Three Vases but both should be included in your rolling exotics.

Vaundell drops to the bottom in the fourth race and could be tough to catch if he has one good one left. With Bejarano staying aboard for Gaines, the veteran gelding seems like a very live item. Max Cooper, first off the claim for Belvoir (26% with a flat-bet profit) missed as the favorite in a similar spot over a mile last month but is back sprinting and should be much more comfortable at this trip. The main concern is that he’s always preferred to run second or third rather than win. Vaundell gets top billing but we’ll double the race in our rolling exotics.

Belonging missed by a head in a similar spot in late December and has trained very well since. Another forward move is likely, so the Sadler-trained filly appears strictly the one to beat in the fifth race. Farayya has looked very good in the morning for Baltas (strong with debut runners) and seems fit and ready for a huge run first crack out of the box. The daughter of Hard Spun attracts Talamo and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play, though the proven element Belonging probably deserves a slight edge.

Master Chef, first off the claim for Eurton, returns to his claim level in today’s sixth race and should run at least as well as he did when winning last month with a big figure. Leparoux stays aboard. Macho Dorado is a dangerous class dropper with a sharp recent work and a good outside draw. He also has that powerful route-to-sprint angle working for him and should excel at this extended sprint trip. We’ll give Macho Dorado preference but both should be used in rolling exotic play.

Birdlover exits a strong race and should make a forward move in today’s featured seventh race in just her third start since arriving from England. The O’Neill-trained filly has good tactical speed and most lkely will draft into an ideal pace stalking position. Let’s make her a strong straight play and rolling exotic single.

She’s Actceptional closed a gap in her debut and seems sure to improve considerably in today’s nightcap. She gets an extra half furlong to work with and should make the most of it. Lady Comic, a route to sprint play, has a look off her decent runner-up across town two races back. We’ll prefer She’s Actceptional on top but use both in our rolling exotics.