Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Mon., Jan. 21, 2013)

A $101,931 Pick-6 Carryover awaits players on this special Monday holiday racing program.

Miss American Pie crushed maiden claimers in her debut and claimed by Sadler, who brings her back after a two month vacation in the opener, a starter’s allowance affair. The recent works indicate fitness and the daughter of Sharp Humor holds a distinct speed figure edge on the competition. She looks very much like a no-value rolling exotic single at 3/5 on the morning line.

Distinctiv Passion looks like another short priced single in the second race. The Bonde-trained colt earned a monster figure when outgunning an entry level allowance field and has trained in superb fashion since. He’s plenty quick from the gate so the rail post shouldn’t pose any problem.

Toruk Makto returns to turf in the third race and has back figures on the lawn that make him very solid in this moderate affair. He continues to look good in the morning for Puype, removes blinkers, and lands the good rail. We’ll put him on top but also use Copper Bay, a progressive gelding in the Gallagher barn. With another forward move today, he could offer a challenge.

The fourth race kicks off the Pick-6 sequence. Wild Side Story was somewhat disappointing when beaten as the choice in a similar spot across town in December but he’s looked better in the morning since and retains Bejarano. This will be his first start on conventional dirt and it wouldn’t surprise us to see considerable improvement. Mind the Master is re-equipped with blinkers and returns to the bottom rung. He ran well when second vs. similar two races back and he didn’t break well in his last outing, so we’ll toss that race out. He’s back with Talamo as well, so we’re expecting to see his best today. Both should be used in rolling exotic play with slight preference going to Wild Side Story.

The fifth race is a bottom-rung miler and boils down to two main contenders. Max Cooper removes blinkers, drops three notches in class, and retains Baze. His recent numbers are stronger than par for this level so if he has one good one left he’ll be hard to beat. Big Wags just handled a similar assignment, though it may be asking just a bit for him to win two straight. Still, the Spawr-trained veteran has to be respected and should be a strong factor from off the pace.

The sixth race is a raffle and could be won by virtually anybody in the field. Use as many as you can afford to in your rolling exotics. Cayambe loves this turf course and is moving up two levels following a claim for Spawr. The rail is no help but in his present form he must be respected. Tamarack Smarty usually finishes with interest and can be tough if he’s ready to fire off a nine month layoff. The works aren’t impressive but he has back numbers that can win and the barn is solid with layoff runners, so we’ll toss him in. Blue Jay Attack is good enough to win on his best day, but he’s never had any luck down the hill. Bejarano won on him two races back across town, so the Jones-trained gelding should be included as well.

Here’s your free Pick-6 bingo space in the seventh race. Beholder is 3/5 on the morning line and looks every bit of that on paper. She’s tough at any distance but she’s truly a monster going short and has never looked better in the morning. Enough said.

Dixieland Blues, in his second off a layoff, should be primed for a huge effort in the eighth race. An even fourth vs. similar last month at Hollywood Park, he’s looked especially sharp in the morning since, retains Smith, and looks capable of producing the last run over a course he clearly prefers. Let’s make him a strong straight play and rolling exotic single.

In the nightcap, Judge Carr has steadily improving speed figures and has been knocking on the door. The Hendricks-trained gelding shortens up a furlong today and should be prominent throughout with Pedroza riding him back. Let’s hope he leaves cleanly from the rail. Tribal Dude chased tougher in his debut and drops for the money run today while adding blinkers. The O’Neill-trained colt retains Maldonado and seems considerably better than shown. Both should be used in rolling exotics; we’ll have a few extra tickets with Tribal Dude in the straight pool.