Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sat., Jan. 19, 2013)

In the Saturday opener, Prettypricegirl drops to the bottom, adds blinkers, has a good recent work over the track and switches to Gomez. In a very weak affair she seems like a logical rolling exotic single and likely will go lower than her morning line odds of 2-1.

Let Em Shine has a world of early speed and will take this maiden field as far as he can in the second race. The Kitchingman-trained colt continues to sizzle in the morning and Maldonado will try to hold him together late. Debuting Governor Charlie has worked like a win-early type for Baffert and appears the one to fear most. The son of Midnight Lute is plenty fit and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play.

The third race is a difficult bottom rung claimer for fillies and mares; we’ll use two in our rolling exotics but you may find the need to go deeper. Vegas Rules has enough speed to get brave at this level and will take them as far as she can. She’s won on this track in the past and Maldonado stays aboard. Democratic Sweep should enjoy clear sailing outside and can be tough either on the lead or from a stalking position. Away since mid November, she’ll be hard to beat if she can duplicate her last race.

Four Better drops again in class while seeking her proper level in today’s fourth race and the O’Neill-trained import switches to Maldonado. She should be able to act in this league. Woebegon is double jumped in class following a $16,000 Canani claim and likely will improve enough to warrant a big look. She hasn’t had much success on turf yet but we’ll give her one more chance to prove she can handle it. Promisecuoussuances is tough at this level and has run very well over this course in the past. Baze should have her in an ideal pace prompting position. She gets top billing, but all three should be included in rolling exotic play.

The co-featured Palos Verdes is a good, tough sprint with a few contenders. Drill didn’t get the best of runs in the opening day Malibu Stakes in his comeback and seems sure to move forward with better racing luck today. Garcia should have him just off the leaders, ready to pounce. Private Zone, another Baffert entrant, established the pace in the Malibu and proved hard to down; he looks like the one to beat while shortening up a furlong. Justin Phillip can be a late threat and is better than his Malibu effort indicates. Bejarano stays aboard and will have him rolling late. Private Zone may deserve a bit of an edge but any one of the three could win it.

In the sixth race, Pussycat Lips closed with courage in a promising U.S. debut in November when second in the Miesque and looks well spotted in this downhill turf entry level allowance dash. She’s a quality filly and has worked like she’s fit and ready for Sadler. Jubliant Girl graduated at first asking down the hill during the autumn season and provides Sadler with another major bullet to fire. Either one can win so we’ll use both in our rolling exotics while slightly preferring Pussycat Lips on top.

Last Memories drops to his lowest level ever in the seventh race while returning to the main track and looks quite capable of beating this modest restricted $12,500 claiming field. He’s 6-1 on the morning line and that seems fair. Trucial State is another dangerous class dropper that should fit very well in this league. He switches to Bejarano and will be a threat from off the pace. These are the two we’ll prefer – slight preference goes to Trucial State – but if you can use more by all means do so.

The co-featured Megahertz has a few contenders in this mile turf affair for fillies and mares. In the Stars beat a fairly decent allowance field last month at Hollywood Park and continues to shine in the morning for Mandella. The lightly-raced Brazilian import should have plenty of further improvement in her and won over this course during the autumn meeting. A Jealous Woman, thoroughly genuine and consistent and especially difficult to beat on this course, shows a bullet drill around dogs here last week and seems spot on for a major effort. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics and then press a bit with A Jealous Woman in the straight pool at or near her morning line odds of 5/2.

The nightcap is weak maiden claiming sprint for sophomore fillies; use as many as you can afford to. Warren’s Cracker has shown enough in the morning to be considered a major contender; in a field in which the known element isn’t much this race could easily be won by a fresh face. Medusalina, third in three of her four career starts, should at least hit the board again and really won’t have to improve much at all to graduate. Target Engaged flashed a bit of improvement when third vs. similar across town and should be part of the pace again today. She isn’t fast on numbers but at least her figures are moving in the right direction.