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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sun., Feb. 12, 2012)
A Pick-6 carryover of $135,446 spices up a Sunday program that doesn’t offer much value early but picks up steam as the day moves on.
The early daily double might be best left alone. The opener, a modest maiden claiming state bred sprint, doesn’t have much quality among the known element so perhaps a fresh face can win it. #6 Alworth appears to have worked well enough for Hendricks to act in this league and should be plenty fit judging by the length of his most recent drills. He certainly won’t have to be a world beater to graduate at first asking.
#3 Princess Arabella has an afternoon workout scheduled for today’s second race. The daughter of Any Given Saturday was as visually impressive as an maiden winner so far this meeting when she overcame a slow start to run six furlongs in 1:08 2/5 in her debut on New Year’s Eve. She’s trained impressively since and only has to beat four other fillies, one of whom is her stablemate, Bella’s Fantasy, who was entered to make the race fill. The bridge jumpers will be out for this one.
The third race is a bottom-rung maiden claimer that would appear to have two major contenders in #2 Alokee and #6 Warren’s City Alert. Both are exiting straight maiden races and both should improve considerably with this substantial class drop. Alokee has left slowly in both of her career outings but switches to hot buy boy Flores and deserves one more chance, especially at this level. Warren’s City Alert gains Bejarano for her first start since last May and has trained like she’s fit and ready so she probably deserves top billing, though at 8/5 on the morning line she doesn’t offer much value
The Pick-6 begins with the fourth race and might require a spread. #3 Geniality disappointed in a similar spot earlier this month but might respond with the switch to the bug and the weight break that goes along with it. She broke her maiden on the front end but can finish if taken back, so Sadler has a few options. #8 Carousel likes to lag and then take hold in the lane and if she can find some cover along the way she could be quite dangerous from off the pace. These are the two we’ll prefer, so a case also can be made for #6 Magical Eclipse, seventh in a strong and productive downhill sprint in her comeback and eligible to step forward for Cerin while stretching out for the first time.
Moderate claiming fillies and mares sprint six furlongs in the fifth race and we’re expecting #8 All the Love to return to top form with this considerable class drop for Kitchingman. The veteran mare returns to conventional dirt – arguably her preferred surface – and makes major rider switch to Rosario. She’ll have enough tactical speed to gain a prominent early position and the back numbers to beat a field like this with anything close to her best effort. Small ticket Pick-6 players might consider her as a single; otherwise you’ll have to go pretty deep to feel safe.
Older maiden fillies and mares tackle the Hillside turf course in the 6th race. We’ll go three deep and feel fairly confident doing so. #2 Angel’s Moon isn’t fast on numbers but she’s trained well for Headley for her first start since July and may be a better type off the layoff. You should probably include her on a couple of tickets. #7 Abella exits a pretty decent race in her debut and seems sure to improve for Blincoe. She’s worked well recently and there’s no reason she won’t like the turf. #9 Sea John’s Spirit is a first timer bred to win early (Sea of Secrets) and has trained well enough for Harty to be given a long look in a below par field for the level. The presence of Bejarano in the saddle is another plus.
We’ll use three in the seventh race as well. #2 Maya Angelina was nosed out at this level two runs back and a repeat of that race today makes her a solid fit. Rosario takes the call and likely will have this Ellis-trained mare doing her best work from off the pace. #4 Lil Miss Macky won a nice starter’s allowance sprint last month and should be competitive in this tougher affair; Garcia should have her on or near the lead throughout. #5 Melissa Rose is a Mitchell dropper off a layoff with a nice series of drills and should come out firing. Talamo will have her pressing the issue from start. These three are tough to separate; all should be used in rolling exotic play.
The featured Sweet Life Stakes is a strong downhill turf sprint for sophomore fillies. #5 Indigo River was highly impressive winning over this course and distance last month and a similar effort should allow her to score right back. #3 She Spirit di Su broke her maiden around two turns with an exciting turn of foot; she backs up in trip today but has the perfect style to be effective and will be rolling in the final furlong under Bejarano. The French invader (and morning line choice at 5/2) is the Gallagher-trained Dijarvo, stakes placed last summer overseas and training smartly for her U.S. bow. We'll prefer Indigo River on top as a possible single for small ticket players; you may want to include all three somewhere on your ticket if you can afford to.
#6 Pulpit’s Express looks like a single in the ninth race, a starter’s allowance over a distance of ground for 3-year-olds. The Mitchell-trained gelding earned a giant figure breaking his maiden sprinting last month and has trained very well (and like one who can run long) since that victory. Rosario rides him back and should have the son of Lucky Pulpit on the front end every step of the way.