Jeff Siegel's Prime Picks for Friday, Feb. 13

The total Pick-6 pool could reach $2 million after a pair of carryover days to start to week. You’ll earn your prize if you can select all six winners today on another very challenging weekday card. It’s Friday the 13th today, but who’s superstitious? If the rains hold off long enough to permit grass racing today, you probably can get past the 3rd race using just #4 Mr Napper Tandy and #7 Asperity. Mr Napper Tandy always has preferred finishing second to winning, but he’s in good form for Carava and won’t have to improve much to beat this field. Exiting a fast and productive heat, the English import is a solid fit on speed figures and looks like the most potent of the closers. He gets the rail and Bejarano and with good racing luck should be hard to contain. Asperity, was a nice winner of a lower level allowance affair last month for Drysdale while earning a number that makes him a very live item on the raise. He, too, should be rolling in the final furlong. At first glance, the two logical contenders in the 4th race are #4 Boule d’Or and #8 South Coast. Both are capable of winning but both appear to have serious condition questions. Boule d’Or was a graded stakes winner on turf here last year and now resides at the bottom level after failing at 6/5 in a slightly tougher spot last month. He’s come back to work well, but who knows how many good ones he has left in him? You almost have to use him, but there is no way you can trust him. The same can be said for the big class dropping #8 South Coast. Second, beaten a head, in a $40,000 claimer month, the Jones-trained gelding shows up for $10,000 today and must have serious physical issues. That doesn’t mean he can’t win – in fact we’d use him in the exotics - but clearly he’s seen better days and rather than gradually descend the claiming level, South Coast hits the bottom with one big nosedive. I find it further suspicious that Talamo jumps off (he’s ridden South Coast in each of his last 11 starts), opting for #9 Raise the Heat, who ran well at the level in December and may be a tad more dependable. Needless to say, this is a spread race in which nothing would surprise us. The 5th race is a maiden claiming dash for fillies and two exiting the same race - #6 Thunder Babydoll and #7 Voodoo’s Vision - should get much of the action. Thunder Babydoll closed well after a wide trip to be a promising fourth in her debut and can only improve with experience for Eurton. With a patient ride from Baze, this daughter of Houston should be tough to deny. Voodoo’s Vision, second in the same heat that Thunder Babydoll exits, is steadily improving for Canani, retains Baze, and will be hard to handle with another forward move. The others in here don’t seem like much. The 6th race is another turfer that might be in jeopardy due to the impending rain. #1 Rumba Along scored gamely by a nose in a similar spot last month for Mulhall, gets the good rail and should fire a similar shot today. #3 Woodland Flood drops into a claimer for the first time, retains Espinoza, and is a solid fit on numbers. If it comes off the lawn, use as many as you can afford to. We’ll double the 7th race, using #1 Cyprus Lady and #4 Theodora. Cyprus Lady gets the rail and Gomez and ran well in a $50,000 claimer earlier this month. If she can build on that today, she’ll be dangerous. Theodora returned off a long layoff to finish a solid third in a downhill turf dash and with that effort behind her, the daughter of Fusaichi Pegasus should be set for her best. The 8th affair is a maiden claiming guessing affair and if you’d made it this far, you’ll need to have this race pretty much bought to feel confident. #4 You Wood missed by a nose in a similar event at seven furlongs last month and could be tough to beat if he can project that sprint form around two turns. Cerin is superb with this stretch-out maneuver and with Bejarano staying aboard, the son of Forestry could be tough to beat. We’re thinking #5 Wolfgang is a tad better than shown and it’s a positive that Rosario stays aboard. He’s got more early speed than he’s been asked to show and could find himself in an ideal stalking position if permitted to lay a bit closer to the pace than he has been. #11 Mickey Rocks is considerably farther out than we’d like, and he’s already an eight race maiden, so he may be a hard one to trust. However, he’s a fit on figures, switches to Baze, and won’t have to improve much to be in the thick of things late. Good Luck!