Jeff Siegel's Prime Picks for Saturday, Jan. 10

The advice I have to offer for $1.2 million triple carryover Pick-6 players today is simple. Don’t worry about the big syndicates and the big tickets, just concern yourself about how much you can afford to invest, find a couple of a singles, and then go hit the thing. The sequence begins with the 4th race, a bottom-rung claiming sprint, and you’ll have to use at least two, #3 Flip the Penny, and #8 Satellite. Flip the Penny regressed last time out after a pair of sharp winning efforts but he’s relatively fresh (off about a month) and should be part of the pace throughout in this abbreviated dash. Satellite has a good stalking style and nice outside draw and ran very well over the Pro-Ride surface during the Oak Tree meeting. Talamo knows him well and should have this tough gelding within striking range throughout. The 5th race is a bottom of the barrel maiden claimer with most of the contention drawn toward the outside. Especially intriguing is #11 Hold This, who makes his first start for Marty Jones following an eight month vacation. He’s been training like he’s fit and ready according to the private clockers and returns with Talamo sans blinkers. I’m expecting a form reversal. #10 Go Cory Go exits a productive race and should make another forward move in just his third lifetime outing. #13 Outlaw Yodeler removes blinkers, fits well on figures and should enjoy a good pace prompting trip outside. If you want to go even deeper, I suppose you can use the ML favorite, Thornmark, who makes his first start in 11 months for new trainer David Bernstein (had been a Paddy Gallagher). Thornmark earned a big fig in his only outing last year but his comeback drills have been somewhat uninspiring. Use him if you can afford to. The 6th race looks like a spread affair. Those with winning credentials – in post position order – are #2 Amybelle (returning off a long layoff for Spawr with big class drop and an okay work tab); #3 Chimera Star (first time for a tag, should be a late threat); #4 Cascabel Lady (sharp blowout over track, class drop, threat off race-before-last); and #5 Rare Nugget (exits tough $20,000 claimer, surfaces in Nw-2 affair today, switches to Gomez). The 7th race looks like an ideal spot for the New York shipper Herr Mozart. He’s worked well locally for new trainer Baffert, adds blinkers, and was stakes placed at Saratoga in his debut before disappointing with a pair of legitimate excuses in his subsequent two starts. This is a nice colt in a race lacking in depth and Nakatani should have him along in plenty of time. He’s a single. The 8th race is kind of a throwback affair – a 12 horse field in older handicap race – and contention runs fairly deep. I’m not sure what happened to #7 Well Armed in the B.C. Dirt Mile, but a repeat of his Goodwood ‘Cap win during the Oak Tree season obviously would beat this field. Also worth using is #1 Mostacolli Mort, first off the claim for Sadler and a threat from off the pace; and #4 Cowboy Cal, who tackles older for the first time but has a touch of real class and figures tough if he can reproduce his grass form over the Pro-Ride. He did run well on the poly track at Keeneland when narrowly missing the Blue Grass Stakes, for whatever that’s worth. If you get to the 9th, you’d be advised to have the 9/5 favorite, #13 Leavethegateopen, on your ticket. On paper, he’s too quick for these and with the switch to Gomez coupled with the class drop he’ll be very difficult to overhaul.