Handicapping Picks for 10/07/2012

Race 4
#4 Naughty Mariana – Fair odds 5/2
#5 Ebo’s Love – Fair odds 3/1
#1 Roman Charity – Fair odds 3/1

Exacta: Box 1,4,5

Naughty Mariana was coming back from 14 months off on 9/20 so had every right to need a race yet led from the start and held 2nd nicely in a big effort. With improving to do 2nd off the layoff and with a jockey change to hot Martin Garcia she looks like the one to beat.

Ebo’s Love won at Fairplex in her 2nd start back from 19 months off, more reasons to expect Naughty Mariana to run very well. Still Ebo’s Love posted the 21 to 1 upset in that race with a decent effort and is confidently raised in class by a low profile yet competent trainer in Lopez, the mare having been competitive versus similar earlier in her career so with a shot of posting another upset.

Roman Charity missed third by a neck and 2nd by a half-length last out at Del Mar versus slightly lesser and was claimed by Glatt out of that race, today getting Bejarano and having won 2 in a row before that so with a decent shot to rebound to form good enough to win.

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