Handicapping Picks for 10/04/2012

Race #5 - Rating = 1
#3 Sumerian - Fair odds 7/2
#7 Raya Roja - Fair odds 7/2
#12 Money Talker - Fair odds 7/2

For exactas, also consider #4 Unusual Beam and #6 Great Rising Star

Sumerian debuted at this mile turf trip last month, no easy task on this circuit, breaking slowly in a field of 10 and yet 5th on the wire and beaten just 2 lengths. With a lot of improving to do and with a clean break she can win today.

Raya Roja finished 2nd of 10 in her last start, a turf route, and with Bejarano staying aboard she can run as well or better.

Money Talker missed by a nose in the same race Sumerian finished 5th in, closing from far back, so her outside post is no disadvantage today and she could be coming on strongly late once more.

Follow Me on Twitter @Ubercapper

You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires, Keeneland Select and TVG handicapping stores.