Handicapping Picks for 03/17/2012

Race #8 - Rating = 2
#5 Include Me Out - Fair odds 5/2
#4 Ellafitz - Fair odds 5/2
#6 Awesomemundo - Fair odds 5/2

Exacta: 4,5,6 over 1,4,5,6 (#1 is Miss Mittagong)

Include Me Out stretched out to two turns for the first time last out and won the Grade 2 La Canada Stakes in powerful fashion, with a strong career best 100 Equibase Speed Figure she could improve upon. Although Ellafitz has won three straight stakes including the Grade 2 Santa Maria last month over the track, she’s earned 98, 90 and 101 figures in those races so Include Me Out has a good shot to win today, at least as much of a probability as Ellafitz, and will go to post at better odds so is the better bet to win. Ellafitz earned those 3 wins leading from start to finish and if able to secure an easy lead again today from the start could be tough to beat. Awesomemundo is trained by Baffert as is Ellafitz, and like Include Me Out she has a shot to post the mild upset, coming off a 7 length score routing here at SA, with a 103 figure that is the best last race effort in the field and one that if repeated could help her earn her first stakes victory.

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You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires, Keeneland Select and TVG handicapping stores.