Handicapping Picks for 03/10/2012

Race #9 - Rating = 2

#7 Creative Cause - Fair odds 5/2
#3 American Act - Fair odds 5/2
#5 Groovin Solo - Fair odds 4/1

For pick 3, pick 4 and daily double tickets played you can also consider #2 Bodemeister, #6 Liaison, #8 Rousing Sermon and #10 Empire Way.

Creative Cause was coming back from 3 ½ months off on 2/19 in the 7 furlong San Vicente, a sprint, with routing likely to be his best game going forward, and so his 3rd place effort in which he finished only a length behind Drill and American Act wasn’t bad at all. Having won the G1 Norfolk at this trip over this track last Fall and then 3rd and only a length behind leading three year olds Hansen and Union Rags in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (109 Equibase Speed Figure) one month later, Creative Cause has a lot of improving to do in the San Felipe and could stamp himself as a strong contender for both the Santa Anita and Kentucky Derby going forward.

American Act beat Creative Cause for 2nd by a nose and was very game in battling Drill nose and nose down the length of the stretch, his best effort to date, earning a strong 107 Equibase Speed Figure in the process. I don’t think going long for the 1st time is going to have any impact on this son of Quiet American and more improvement is not only possible but is likely so he’d be no surprise if right there at the wire with Creative Cause today, perhaps coming out on top.

Groovin Solo is a longshot play today the same as he was in the Robert B. Lewis last month when finished 3rd and then disqualified to 7th after Liaison clipped his heels as he veered inward in the stretch. Having broken his maiden at a mile here at SA with a 98 figure prior to that, this well-bred half-brother to Street Hero and others takes blinkers off and earned that maiden win without the hood, more signs he can return to competitive form and hold a straight course today, particularly with TWO sizzling best of the day workouts (best of 44 and best of 80) coming into the race a sign of excellent condition.

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You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires, Keeneland Select and TVG handicapping stores.