Handicapping Picks for 02/16/2012

Race #3 - Rating = 2
#4 Blue Tambourine - Fair odds 5/2
#2 Jaws n' Paws - Fair odds 5/2
#1 Subpoena the Dress - Fair odds 5/2

Blue Tambourine likes to have the lead early, as evidenced by the fact she earned her last two wins in sprints when in front from start to finish. She didn’t have a chance to lead last out in a higher 40K claimer when the opening ¼ went in 21.4 but today she appears to be the lone front runner and capable of returning to winning form. Jaws n’ Paws is a perfect 3 for 3 on the SA main track, including a nice win last time out on 1/19 at the slightly lower 16K level. Claimed out of that win by the strong Garcia barn and with Krigger riding back after being up for that last win, this mare show won back to back last summer has every right to win her 2nd in a row. Subpoena the Dress also likes it at SA, with a 4 for 9 record including a strong win one before last on January 2. Claimed by Mitchell out of her last race, a poor effort when breaking slowly following the win, she gets a jockey change to Rosario, who rode her to victory the only time previously in the saddle, so if the top pick can’t go all the way in front this gal could get the job done.

Follow Me on Twitter @Ubercapper

You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires, Keeneland Select and TVG handicapping stores.