Handicapping Picks for 02/11/2012

Race #7 - Rating = 3
#11 Farmer Giles - Fair odds 2/1
#8 Cranky Jack - Fair odds 7/2
#4 Ten Devils / #10 Mr. Make Believe - Fair odds 7/2

Exactas: 11 over 2,4,5,7,8,9,10 and (reverse) 2,4,5,7,8,9,10 over 11
#5 is Nextdoorneighbor, #2 is Confucius Junior, #7 is Romeo Royale, #9 is Kumiva

Farmer Giles is a KEY bet on the day owing to the fact he’s won five of his last six and missed by just a neck in the other. Shipped from Northern Cal. by exceptional trainer John Martin, this gelding who is a perfect 2 for 2 off the claim by John cuts back from a route to a sprint and gets a great outside post to win once again, having run 2nd down this hillside course previously in March, 2010, in a much tougher open optional allowance event, still eligible for this NW1X condition even though he has 7 career wins, tops in the field. Cranky Jack shows a portentous blinkers on/fast workout pattern that could help him bounce back to the form shown just one before last when winning in a Cal-Bred NW1X allowance race down the hill, also having won on this course at a mile in October so with a decent shot to be competitive in this situation. Ten Devils and Mr. Make Believe both are trained by Dick Mandella so if we consider one, we should consider the other. Ten Devils rallied from far back to get 3rd, beaten just a length, last out down the hill at the level so might only need slight improvement go be part of the exacta today at the very least, while Mr. Make Believe won his career debut last April here at SA down this specialist’s hillside course and comes back from a 3 month rest back in a sprint after 3 longer races following the win, freshened again and proven capable of winning fresh, with a good outside post like the one he won from last spring as well.

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You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires, Keeneland Select and TVG handicapping stores.