Handicapping Picks for 01/29/2012
Race #8 - Rating = 2
#3 Catchy Tune - Fair odds 2/1
#9 Teroda - Fair odds 2/1
#6 Unzip Me - Fair odds 2/1
Exacta: Box 3,6,9
Catchy Tune can post her 2nd upset win in a row, having just won at 16 to 1 down this specialist’s downhill turf trip, gamely by a head, Garcia in the saddle for the 1st time and riding back again, the mare having won back-to-back in her career and now never worse than 2nd in 3 tries at this trip on the SA turf. Teroda gets the best post for this trip, the outside, the same post Catchy Tune won from last out, this gal also coming off a win down the hill, powerfully by 3 ¼ lengths and with a 99 Equibase Speed Figure similar to the 100 Catchy Tune earned 2 weeks later. Making her 3rd start after coming back from a long layoff, Teroda has room to improve and with Rosario aboard we might have to gals to bet to win in this situation if the odds are right, which is likely given that Unzip Me will be the prohibitive favorite. Unzip Me scratched out of a stakes at a mile on Saturday to go in her favorite trip, one she has won at 6 times in 10 races including stakes such as this. However, she has been beaten in 2 of her last 3 tries down the hill, including last out on January 2 in the Ken Maddy Stakes when 3rd at 6 to 5 with no excuse, so while not totally discountable, Unzip Me isn’t a horse I’d consider for a win bet in this situation as she is no standout, and of course we make a lot more money if one of the other two win and if they combine for the exacta so that’s where my loyalties will be in spite of including Unzip Me on any exacta, pick or pick 4 tickets played.
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