Handicapping Picks for 01/19/2012

Race #7 - Rating = 2
#4 Ruffled Feathers - Fair odds 3/1
#1 Really Elegant - Fair odds 3/1

Exactas: 4 over 1,6,7 and (reverse) 1,6,7 over 4 then also 1 over 4,6,7 and (reverse) 4,6,7 over 1
#6 is Sunburn, #7 is Meltarib. Use all 4 on any pick 3 or 4 tickets played.

Ruffled Feathers drops out of stakes where she was overmatched back to a claiming race, a 25K claimer to be exact, having rallied from last after a slow start to 4th one before last at this mile turf trip versus tougher 40K claimers. Making her 3rd start off a layoff and dropping to this level for the first time, this gal who has earned over $238K in her career and is 2 for 3 on the SA turf has a shot to improve off that 11/3 effort and win today. Really elegant is the one the rest including Ruffled Feathers has to catch to win, having wired the field in 2 of her last 3 races, with the rail and a 90 last race Equibase Speed Figure that suggests she’s not really overmatched here at all, her last start one versus 16K open (not restricted) claimers and today’s race an allowance/optional 25K claiming race for Cal-Breds, perhaps a lateral move or even a drop in class.

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You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires, Keeneland Select and TVG handicapping stores.