Handicapping Picks for 01/06/2012

Race #4 - Rating = 2
#7 Madera Castana - Fair odds 5/2
#2 Secret Cove - Fair odds 5/2
#3 Thisismystage - Fair odds 3/1

Exactas: 7 over 2,3,4,5 and (reverse) 2,3,4,5 over 7
Use all 5 on any pick 3 or 4 tickets played.
#4 is Anniversary Girl, #5 is Wild Rose

Madera Castana was WAY overmatched in the Grade 1 Matriarch Stakes last out and her race before that was on the main track but three back under identical conditions to these she missed by a neck in a big effort, one that can be repeated for victory today in this pretty weak field for the level. Secret Cove has won 2 in a row and four of her last 4, the most recent at the one lower NW1X allowance level, so she fits perfectly and even though she loses Gomez to So Belle she picks up Nakatani, with a good inside post and no real signs of anything less than another “A” effort good enough to win. Thisismystage won at the one lower NW1X level last out at 10 furlongs so should have no problem with running 9 furlong today, Espinoza up then as now and the filly a perfect fit, not only that but lightly raced and now 1st or 2nd in 4 of six career turf starts.

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You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires, Keeneland Select and TVG handicapping stores.