Handicapping Picks for 11/03/2011

Race #7 - Rating = 2
#5 Cayanna - Fair odds 5/2
#8 Last Sting - Fair odds 5/2
#1 Princess Suances - Fair odds 3/1

Exacta: Box 1,5,8

Cayanna stretches out to a mile after a nice win at 6 ½ furlongs on this turf course, having missed by a head at this level at a mile right before that, Espinoza up then as now and the filly having now been 1st or 2nd in 7 of 11 so a must to use on any exacta tickets we play at the very least, noting that the last win was her first ever try on this turf course and so she might run as well and win her 2nd in a row today.

Last Sting rallied from 7th to 2nd in spite of having to wait for running room in the stretch last out at this level and distance on this course, two before that breaking her maiden at this mile turf trip. Quinonez rode her to both efforts and is aboard again today so Last Sting has every right to get the job done with a trouble free trip.

Princess Suances gets the ground saving rail and is the one to catch, as she likes to lead from the start, such as in her most recent effort on 10/7 at the level when opening up early before tiring. She had been off for 20 months prior to that and so she was too fresh, setting an extremely hot pace that day but likely to relax on much more moderate fractions today, such as she did in her first turf route and 3rd career start when leading the field from start to finish, an effort that if repeated gives her a strong chance for success.
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You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires and TVG handicapping stores.