Handicapping Picks for 10/27/2011

Race #7 - Rating = 2
#8 Spirit Seeker - Fair odds 2/1
#2 She's Very Rare - Fair odds 5/2
#10 Ambitoness - Fair odds 3/1

Exactas: 8 over 1,2,6,10 and (the reverse) 1,2,6,10 over 8

#1 is Izshelegal, #6 is Chokecherymary

Spirit Seeker is the one to beat and the key to exacta profit as well, having won 8 times and finishing 6 more in her 26 race career. She enters the race off two straight and powerful wins after being off for 5 months, the most recent here at SA at this mile trip on 10/13 with Bejarano in the saddle then, as now, and she’s confidently raised in class from the 20K level to this 40K level and able to stand the raise as she was a stakes winner earlier in her career.

She’s Very Rare likes to win, with 6 victories in 17 main track races, including 3 in a row coming into today’s race. She just won at this optional 40K claiming level at Fairplex at 7 furlongs so shouldn’t have an issue with the extra 1/8 of a mile and apprentice Flores rides back after that nice win on 9/21 so she’s got a big shot at being there at the wire again.

Ambitoness rallied for 2nd, beaten just a half length, last out on 10/6 at 6 ½ furlongs on the main track here and is up in class nicely off the claim by Diodoro off the claim. Talamo rides her back and she won at this level in May so rounds out a strong group of contenders for the win and to complete the exacta, a trio that sticks out against the other 7 in this event.
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You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires and TVG handicapping stores.