Handicapping Picks for 10/14/2011

Race #7 - Rating = 2
#4 Joker Face - Fair odds 9/5
#6 Valley Fog - Fair odds 5/2
#8 Myhorseofcourse - Fair odds 5/2

Exacta: Box 4,6,8

Joker Face is in sharp form, with a win and two losses by a neck in his last 3 starts, the win coming one before last after adding blinkers and the loss last out at this non-winners of 2 level at this mile turf trip when he was 3 ¼ lengths clear of the 3rd horse in an effort that usually would have been good enough to win. With the best last race Equibase Speed Figure (100) in the field to improve upon he could take some beating.

Valley Fog finished 4th in that same race, missing third by less than a length, in his turf and two turn debut, and with improvement forecast off the experience and with blinkers going on today he’s got a shot to run as he did two before that when rallying from 4th to pull away at the end.

Myhorseofcourse rallied from 6th of 7 to win nicely at Fairplex last out and since that oval has tight turns like a turf course and since that late running style works well on the turf he rounds out our trio of contenders, particularly as he may improve in his 2nd start after being off for 5 months.
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You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires and TVG handicapping stores.