Handicapping Picks for 10/06/2011

Race #7 - Rating = 3
#6 Starspangled Heat - Fair odds 5/2
#8 Holladay Road - Fair odds 5/2
#11 Bluegrass Reward - Fair odds 3/1

Exactas: 6 over 2,8,10,11 and (reverse) 2,8,10,11 over 6 then also 8 over 2,6,10,11 and (reverse) 2,6,10,11 over 8

Starspangled Heat got a pretty poor ride in his most recent race on 10/5, with no where to run until too late to have an impact. Still beaten just 2 lengths although fifth, with a change in Jockey to Pat V and any racing luck he can run as he did prior to that when rallying nicely to win, and he should benefit from the cut back from a route to a sprint as well so figures to get up in time today.

Holladay Road rallied from next to last to 4th in a troubled effort last out, beaten just a nose and neck for 2nd and a length at the wire for the win. He won prior to that t a mile, both on the main track, and he’s won on turf before so has a big shot on the cut back to this 6 ½ furlong trip and with the jockey change to Gomez to have a big impact at the end, particularly as the race he last ran in on 8/27 might have been productive as the winner came back to win his next start.

Bluegrass reward is another that cuts back from a route to a sprint, moving from the main track to the grass and having finished 2nd the only time in his career he ran on grass previously. Blinkers go back on and he wore them for his last win, better still he’s making his 2nd start since the private trainer change to Mitchell and Mike’s #1 winning jockey at Del Mar, Joe Talamo, gets on for the first time.

Follow Me on Twitter @Ubercapper

You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Santa Anita card at www.equibase.com, www.trackmaster.com as well as at the Xpressbet, Twinspires and TVG handicapping stores.