jsiegel's blog

A solid eight-race program begins with a maiden claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. #4 Tizhardtoget, away since May, surfaces for a tag and appears to be training well enough to beat this field. She earned decent speed figures earlier this year when chasing tougher. #6 Elusive Luci had good speed before fading vs. straight maidens at Del Mar; she figures to stick a whole lot better in this league.

The Santa Anita Autumn season moves into its second week with a solid eight race program.

#1 Market Portfolio looks ready to graduate in this, his third career start. The Hollendorfer-trained gelding continues to exhibit sharpness in the morning and if he can avoid trouble from his rail post position the son of After Market should be able to handle this maiden-claiming field. #3 Broker Brett, in the money in his last pair with better than par speed figures for the level, looks like a logical exacta partner with our top pick.

Sunday’s program begins with a mid-grade claiming sprint restricted to 3-year-olds. #2 Judge Carr was scratched opening day for this more plausible spot, and the Hendricks-trained gelding looks capable of producing the last run following a significant drop in class. Bejarano stays aboard. #3 Hazardous also is tackling much easier today and may have found his friends.

Six stakes races, five of which are Grade-1s, highlight a glorious Saturday of racing at Santa Anita that includes a Pick-6 carryover of $42,333.

The 2013 Autumn Santa Anita season begins with a challenging nine race program, highlighted by the $100,000 Eddie D. Stakes, an important prep for the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint.

Closing day offers a mandatory payoff in the Pick-6.

Swingaway drops into a claimer for the first time in the opner and appears to have found her friends. She should draft into a second flight, ground-saving position and then go on with it. Baze knows her well. We’ll prefer her on top but also include in our rolling exotics Tanquerray, nosed out in a similar spot with a race-shape aided late bid. These are the two short priced favorites, so there’s really no value here.
Brooklyn Rose drops to the bottom in the Saturday opener and looks tough to beat. Nakatani stays aboard for Hess and should have this veteran mare within striking range from a comfortable inside draw. Racy Rosa won a restricted claiming sprint recently with an okay figure and is realistically spotted in this league. She’s stretching out for the first time and has the pedigree to enjoy the extra ground. Both should be used in rolling exotic play; we’ll give a very slight edge to Brooklyn Rose.
A whopping $370,763 double Pick-6 carryover makes Santa Anita’s Friday program a “must play” for serious punters.

Courageousandbold just crushed a softer field with a sharp figure and if she can duplicate that effort for her new connections in the opener she’ll win right back. However, she’s even money on morning line, so there’s certainly no value here. Use her as a rolling exotic single or better yet simply pass the race.
The final week of the season begins with an $85,262 Pick-6 carryover.

In the opener, I Don’t Care Who is a solid fit on numbers, retains Nakatani, and should be comfortably placed just behind the leaders. He seems as good as any and we’ll put him on top while also using in our rolling exotics Tiz Snazzy, an improving sort and switching to Talamo.
Flower Power is a consistent sort with solid figures and returns to his winning level while retaining Bejarano. He seems the logical choice in the opener so we’ll make him a straight play and rolling exotic single.