jsiegel's blog

Closing day has mandatory payoffs in all of the rolling exotics and will start early at 12 Noon due to the reinstitution of Daylight Savings.

The opener is a highly contentious starter’s allowance affair with three main contenders. #1 Muchos Besos has been facing tougher lately and should rebound at this level. He’s especially fond of the Santa Anita main track and has been sharp in the morning lately. #7 Half Dome Dude is in good form and has the proper style for this extended sprint trip. #10 Big Wags is tough at any distance.

It doesn’t get much better than this. A sensational 12-race program, including nine Breeders’ Cup events with an $891,813 Pick-5 carryover to begin the program.

The Breeders’ Cup two day festival begins with a sterling 11-race program that begins early at 10:40 Pacific Daylight Time.

Free general admission and a Pick-6 carryover of $439,663 make the Thursday program a “must play” day as Breeders’ Cup week begins at Santa Anita.

In the opener #1 Pure Blush and #3 Miz Wounded Knee exit the same race, with the former finishing a willing third while the latter was checking in fourth. Both are capable of winning at this level with ‘Blush the preferred of the two.

A huge $88,698 Pick-6 carryover makes the Sunday program a “must play” for handicappers. It’s a tough sequence, though, and it would be shocking to see it carry over again.

A strong Saturday program begins with a $12,500 claiming sprint for 3-year-old fillies that appears made to order for #8 Julio’s Gold. She drops from an open affair to a restricted (nw-2) event and lands the cozy outside post. Pedroza should have her on or near the lead throughout. #1 Clearly Confused ran well at this level earlier this month and seems like a logical exacta partner with the favorite.

A nice pick-6 carryover of $46,733 adds interest to the Friday eight race program. We’re one week out from the beginning of the two-day Breeders’ Cup festival.

The Thursday program begins with a weak early daily double; the field has been reduced to three in the second race with win wagering only. Things pick up after that.

The opener finds #5 Eltoninadress at 6/5 on the morning line and the Taylor-trained filly seems logical, though she offers no value. Second in her last pair, she moves up a notch but actually catches a weaker field today than she did when second in both of her last two outings against bottom-rung $8,000 fillies and mares. There’s not much to work with here.

The Sunday nine race program begins with a modest maiden claiming miler that could be won by almost anyone. #1 Crucero returns to the main claiming ranks and is a strong fit on speed figures. He should get a great trip from the rail. #3 Carlsbad Mountain switches to the main track and will take this field on the front end for as far as he can. These are the two we’ll be using; feel free to go deeper if you need to.

A massive $230,199 Pick-6 carryover adds considerable intrigue to a challenging nine race Saturday program.

The opener doesn’t offer much unless you’re trainer Peter Miller, who saddles two of the five starters in this maiden $75,000 claiming sprint for juveniles. Both fillies - #1 Red Barris and #3 Sergeant O’Rourke – have done enough good work in the morning to indicate ability and both probably should be included in rolling exotic play. Suffice to say there are better opportunities later on in the program.