jsiegel's blog

King Maya probably beats the first race field if he’s ready in his first start since September but at 6/5 on the morning line there’s not much we can do with him. And, quite frankly, we’ve seen better 6/5 shots. Use him in your rolling exotics if you’d like, but also include Congregationalist; he’s a nine-race maiden but has improving speed figures and was a decent third vs. tougher last time out. Both contenders are trained by Cerin. This might be a race you opt to sit out.
A pick-6 carryover of $191,838 provides considerable motivation to attack the Saturday Santa Anita program.
A $43,178 Pick-6 carryover awaits Friday players.
Bikini Bottom improved dramatically when dropped to his level in her second career start and a repeat of that effort in today’s opener should be good enough to handle this high priced maiden claiming filed of older state bred fillies and mares. A bullet blowout over the weekend should have her on edge, and Krigger stays aboard for O’Neill. At 4/5 on the morning line she offers no value in the straight pool, so we’ll be content to use her as a rolling exotic single.
Melanistic has been popular at the claim box lately and goes back to a previous trainer, Baltas, who re-claimed her after one race. She’s ambitiously placed in this first race allowance event but lands Bejarano and has numbers that make her a solid fit. Plus, she loves to win races. Sweetrayofsunshine also has been claimed in her last pair and today goes for Spawr (superior stats with this maneuver). She’s unbeaten in four outings over this main track and Krigger fits her perfectly. Both should be used in rolling exotic play; we’ll give the edge to Sweetrayofsunshine on top.Memo to Kathy hits hard in these low level claiming sprints for fillies and mares and her late-running style always is effective at this extended sprint trip. The Spawr-trained mare retains Delgadillo in today’s opener while looking for her third straight score. The one to beat again is Rossi Reserve, beaten a head by ‘Kathy earlier this month. She has an edge in the tactical speed department and in a field without much zip she could take full advantage of a very favorable pace scenario. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics while preferring Rossi Reserve on top.
The Friday opener is a weak maiden claimer and might be best left alone. Those wishing to delve into the rolling exotics should consider singling Shackbamalama. He lands a cozy outside box, drops to his proper level, retains Pedroza and removes blinkers. Today looks like his day.
There’s not much depth to the Thursday opener. Wild Tony ran well when second (beaten a head) in a similar spot two races back and a repeat of that effort today puts him in the thick of things again. He should be on or near the lead throughout. In an empty field, we’ll make him a straight play and rolling exotic single.
The Sunday program begins with a very weak maiden claimer; we’ll use two and hope that’s sufficient. Flew Flicker is an 11-race maiden but he actually finished first in a race three back, only to be disqualified. He has dangerous speed in this context so we’ll use him along with Political Man, a closing sort with competitive figures for a clever outfit. Toss in a few others if you’d like or better yet simply pass the race.
As this is written it is unsure whether there will be racing on turf. However, for the purpose of this analysis, we’ll assume the races will remain on grass.